Productivity and the Machinery and Equipment Capital Stock

Business investment and Australian industry productivity 

 

 

 

 

There are many issues that affect productivity. Some are long-term, such as innovation, R&D, and education and training systems. Others are structural, like the number of micro and small firms, or institutional, like state based occupational licensing and building codes. However, for Australian industry by far the most important factor in its low level of productivity growth is the lack of business investment in the capital stock (which is the accumulated amount of machinery, equipment, buildings, structures, software and R&D).

 

Economic growth comes from increasing productivity, which is determined by the amount and quality of capital per worker and the rate of adoption of new technology. With investment the capital stock is upgraded and grows [1], so a low level of investment means slower growth in output, increasing economic inefficiency, less economic dynamism, and lower productivity. Industry investment in physical and intellectual assets is central to building capacity and upgrading technology.

 

The most widely used labour productivity measure is gross domestic product per hour worked. Labour productivity is also available as gross value added per hour worked for 16 industries in the market sector, which excludes three industries that lack meaningful prices and volume measures of output: Public Administration and Safety; Education and Training; and Health Care and Social Assistance.  It can also be estimated as industry value added (IVA) per person employed. 

 

In Australia there is a wide difference between a few high productivity growth market sector industries and two groups of low to medium and very low or negative productivity growth industries. On the hours worked measure for labour productivity, since 1995-96 there were three very high growth industries (over 100%), seven with medium growth (50-99%), and four industries with very low growth (under 50%), and two with negative growth. 

 

Table 1. Labour productivity hours worked basis, percent change

 

How does the M&E capital stock and capex data line up with the productivity stats from the ABS? This post looks at the 2023-24 data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics for productivity, capital stock, and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF, i.e. capital expenditure or capex) on machinery and equipment (M&E). Total GFCF was $649 billion, with $245 billion in Non-dwelling construction the largest component, followed by $142 billion on Dwellings. Expenditure on M&E was $129 billion, much more than the $41 billion spent on Software and $27 billion on R&D, the two other main components of investment by Australian industry.

 

Capital and Productivity

 

Figure 1 shows the M&E  net capital stock chain volume measure for All Industries, i.e. capital stock adjusted for depreciation due to use and for changes in prices for the 16 market sector industries, and the hours worked labour productivity measure. There is clearly a relationship between them, but there is a lag of a couple of years between changes in M&E capital stock and productivity. After 2005 the capital stock began rising but productivity followed three years later, and followed two years after the increase in capital stock flattened out from 2015.  After the COVID spike in 2021 productivity has returned to trend. 

 

Figure 1. Machinery and equipment capital stock and productivity

 

Source: ABS 5204

Note: All Industries net capital stock chain volume measure, and hours worked labour productivity. 

 

Machinery and Equipment Capital Stock

 

Since the financial crisis in 2008 machinery and equipment capital expenditure (M&E capex) has been falling, from eight to around four percent of GDP. With less investment the capital stock grows more slowly, leading to less or older capital per worker, slower growth in output, and therefore lower productivity. With a low rate of growth firms will not invest, or invest less, in expanding capacity and innovation. The result is less economic dynamism and increasing economic inefficiency, leading to lower growth in productivity and GDP. Very broadly, the net capital stock of M&E in each industry is around eight times their annual capex.

 

The top five industries in Figure 2 account for 53% of total M&E net capital stock, showing how  concentrated the M&E capital stock is in Australia. The industries are Mining, Transport, postal and warehousing, Manufacturing, Agriculture and Construction. 

 

Figure 2. Machinery and equipment capital stock by industry

 

Source: ABS 5204

 

 

Machinery and Equipment Capital Expenditure

 

M&E capex is also concentrated in five industries that accounted for 52% of the total in 2024. The two industries of Mining and Transport spent over $17 billion each, Manufacturing $12 billion, Construction $11.6 billion, and Agriculture $9 billion. The next five industries include four that spent between $6 and $7 billion, and one that spent $5.2  billion. 

 

Figure 3. Machinery and equipment capital expenditure by industry

 

Source: ABS 5204. Ranked by M&E capital stock. 

 

 

Productivity Growth 

 

Over the last five years there have been significant differences between industries in productivity growth. Table 2 has the 16 industries in the market sector, and shows between 2019 and 2024 three industries had high growth in output per hour worked of over 10%, but overall performance has been affected by five industries with negative growth, low growth in another seven industries, and no growth in construction. For most industries, MFP growth was worse than for labour productivity as hours worked. The highest performing industries were Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing and Information, Media and Telecommunications, the worst performing industries were Mining and Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste. 

 

Table 2. Market sector productivity growth 

 

The problem is that Mining, Manufacturing, Construction and Transport are industries that have the largest M&E capital stock and capex, but  low or no productivity growth. This implies there are inefficiencies in those industries that have constrained productivity growth, which may be due to industrial relations and conditions but also could reflect poor management, supply chain and logistics issues, or a low rate of adoption of new technology. Agriculture is the exception, with both a large capital stock and high productivity growth. 

 

Another issue is that Capital productivity has been falling since 1995-96. The decline in capital productivity is one reason Australia’s productivity growth has been so low, because over the last decade the low level of business investment means the capital stock has not been getting replaced and updated.

 

Figure 4. Capital productivity and private gross fixed capital formation

 

Source: ABS 5206. Total private GFCF as percent of GDP in current dollars. 

 

Figure 4 shows Total private gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), which is private sector investment in the capital stock, and capital productivity. The increases in GFCF during the fiscal response to the 2008-09 global financial crisis and the expenditure on plant and equipment during the mining boom from 2012 are apparent. What is significant is that capital productivity and the share of GDP of private GFCF were flat after 2016, before an increase in GFCF in 2023 and 2024 lifted capital productivity. 

 

M&E Per Worker

 

Another factor is capital intensity and increasing or decreasing capital per worker. Increased capital per worker is capital deepening, which means that labour has more capital to work with to produce output. Changes in the amount of M&E per worker vary greatly across industries. Figure 5 shows the change in the volume of M&E capital stock per person employed between 2010 and 2024 and two measures of labour productivity. 

 

Figure 5. Change productivity and M&E capital stock per person employed

 

Source: ABS 5204

Note: Annual chain volume measure of net capital stock divided by the number of workers in June, hours worked Labour productivity, and Quality adjusted hours worked labour productivity. 

 

Figure 1 showed the relationship between M&E net capital stock and the hours worked labour productivity measure. Figure 5 disaggregates both the M&E capital stock and productivity to show the wide range of difference between industries. The overall measures balance out industries with decreased M&E capital per worker (known as capital shallowing), which includes Mining, Manufacturing and  Professional, scientific and technical services, with those that have increased capital per worker (capital deepening) such as Agriculture,Electricity, gas, water and waste services, Construction, Wholesale and Retail trade.

 

Similarly, industries with increased labour productivity like Agriculture, forestry and fishing,  Wholesale trade, Retail trade, and Information, media and telecommunications, balance out those with decreased labour productivity like Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity, gas, water and waste, and Construction, which is an outlier because Construction also had a large increase in M&E capital per worker but little increase in productivity. 

 

There is no clear pattern here. Agriculture, forestry and fishing, Wholesale trade, and Retail trade had increased productivity and capital deepening. However, Rental, hiring and real estate services, Professional, scientific and technical services, and Administrative and support services had capital shallowing but increased productivity. (This might be associated with the difficulty of measuring output accurately in service industries). 

 

Conclusion

 

In the short run the single most important factor in increasing the rate of Australia’s productivity growth would be to increase business investment. Because business investment in Australia is so concentrated, industry policies to improve productivity should be targeted at those industries with the largest capital stock and capex but low productivity growth.

 

The top five industries account for 53% of total machinery and equipment net capital stock, showing how  concentrated the M&E capital stock is. Those industries are Mining, Transport, postal and warehousing, Manufacturing, Agriculture and Construction. M&E capex is also concentrated in those five industries, which accounted for 52% of the total in 2024.

 

The problem is that although Mining, Manufacturing, Construction and Transport are the industries that have the largest M&E capital stock and capex, they have had  low or no productivity growth. That may be due to industrial relations and conditions, but also could reflect poor management, supply chain and logistics issues, or a low rate of adoption of new technology. Agriculture is the exception, with both a large capital stock and high productivity growth. 

 

Another factor is capital intensity and increasing or decreasing capital per worker. Changes in the amount of M&E per worker varied greatly across industries between 2010 and 2024, and when comparing those changes to labour productivity there is no clear pattern. A few industries had increased productivity and capital deepening. However, others  had capital shallowing but increased productivity. Construction had more M&E capital per worker but little increase in productivity.

 

Australian productivity will be improved by increased investment in the capital stock. That may not be the only factor, but in the short run it is the most  important one. Traditional policy instruments to increase investment in M&E are tax incentives like accelerated depreciation, and financial incentives like production subsidies, grants and loan guarantees. These are blunt instruments, but they can be targeted at high growth frontier firms with high productivity and the high growth industries that drive economic expansion, which could become part of the Future Made in Australia policy. 

 

Business investment in M&E can also be promoted by identifying and removing barriers to investment like slow approvals for construction of new factories, development of new industry technology strategies, revising public procurement methods, offering prizes for technological innovation, and incentives like advanced market commitments for new products like prefabricated buildings and services like digital twins. 

 

The contemporary approach to industrial policy is more about establishing collaboration between the public and private sectors, and developing an institutional framework within which collaboration can best work. This emphasises supply of economic inputs such as energy, transport and skilled workers, but also requires a focus on outcomes and outputs instead of processes and procedures. If the outcome is more M&E capital for workers, that will also lead to more output and higher productivity. 

 

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[1] Capital stock in the current year is last year’s stock minus depreciation (from use) plus new investment. 

Insights from New Data on Australian Construction

Construction Industry Survey 2024

 

The ABS has published detailed data on the Construction industry for 2023-24. Although released as part of the Australian Industry data, this is the seventh of a series of irregular and infrequent Construction Industry Surveys done by the ABS [1]. The ABS collected employment, wages and salaries, income, expenses, operating profit, earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), and industry value added (IVA) for private sector construction businesses. 

 

Construction is an industry division, divided into three subdivisions: 

·      Subdivision 30 Building construction, with the two groups of Residential and Non-residential building;

·      Subdivision 31 Heavy and civil engineering construction; and

·      Subdivision 32 Construction services with five groups of Land development and site preparation services, Building structure services, Building installation services, Building completion services, and Other construction services.

 

The survey divides income by: 

·      Type of client;

·      Nature of contract (contracting, subcontracting or speculative);

·      Type of asset (houses, other residential building, non-residential building, road and bridge construction, and other non-building construction); and

·      Type of work (new construction work, alterations, additions, renovations and improvements, and repairs and maintenance).

 

This post first looks at industry totals and the Construction subdivisions and groups, and details income and expenses. It then compares the amount per employee for income, wages and salaries, EBITDA and IVA across the subdivisions and groups to show their relative performance. The data on capital expenditure, work done by type of asset and type of work is presented. 

 

Australia is in the fortunate position of having one of the world’s best statistical agencies with the ABS, at a time when other countries are having issues with their data collections [2].

 

 

 Industry Totals

 

Total employment was 1,291,000 people, of which Construction services were 883,000 or 68%. Within Construction services, the largest groups were Building installation services (329,000 people) and Building completion services (223,000 people). Building construction employed 254,000 with 173,00 in Residential building, and Heavy and civil engineering construction employed 154,000. 

 

Total income includes income from non-construction services and sales of land and goods, but the survey also has income from contracting and subcontracting. Construction total income was $633.6 billion with $438.6bn from contracting and subcontracting (69%), with $77bn of contracting income from the public sector (17.5%). For the three subdivisions:

·      Building construction’s total income was $235.2bn, with $130.8bn from contracting and $21.5bn from subcontracting, contributing $152.3bn. 

·      Heavy and civil engineering construction’s total income was $122.4bn with $85bn from contracting, of which $47.2bn (55.5%) was for the public sector, and $13.2 from subcontracting, contributing $98.2bn. 

·      Construction services’ total income was $276.1bn, with $116.6bn from subcontracting and $71.4bn from contracting, contributing $188bn. 

·      Within Construction services, Building installation services was the largest group by income ($94.2bn), followed by Building completion services ($53.2bn), which together were 53% of Construction services income. 

 

 

Table 1. Construction totals 

Source: ABS 8155DO008. 

Note: W & S is Wages and salaries, Total income includes income from non-construction services and sale of land and goods, Profit is Operating profit before tax, EBITDA is Earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortisation, IVA is Industry value added. 

 

Figure 1. Contracting income by client type

 

 

Non-construction income was 31% of total income, with $113.2bn from the sale of goods and $61.2bn from services. Income from sales of land and goods was a high proportion of contracting and subcontracting income for Residential building (67%) and Land development and site preparation services (53%). Income from Non-construction services (including professional, scientific and technical services) was a high proportion of contracting and subcontracting income for Heavy and civil engineering (14%), for Land development and site preparation services (43%), and for Building installation services (18%). 

 

Figure 2. Non-construction income by source

 

 

Expenses were $570.7bn in 2023-24. The largest were purchases of goods and materials ($255.4b) and selected labour costs ($105.7b). Payments to other businesses for construction services, building and industrial cleaning services was $91.6b, and this will have included Professional services like architectural, engineering and surveying services, and rental and hire of machinery and equipment .

 

Purchases of land for property development was $12.2 bn, with Residential building accounting for $7bn and Land development and site preparation $3bn of the total. Those purchases incurred $2.1bn and $1.3bn in interest costs for the groups, which also had $762mn and $1.4bn in depreciation and amortisation expenses. 

 

Performance Per Employee

 

Comparing the amount per employee for income, wages and salaries, EBITDA and IVA highlights the differences between the industry subdivisions and groups. The Non-residential building and Heavy and civil engineering construction subdivisions had much higher average wages and salaries and income than the rest of the industry, and the highest IVA per employee. The highest operating profit per employee and EBITDA was in Land development and site preparation, which was also the group with the highest income from non-construction services, and Building installation services had the lowest operating profit per employee and EBITDA.

 

Table 2. Amount per employee

Source: ABS 8155DO008. 

Note: W & S is Wages and salaries, Total income includes income from non-construction services and sale of land and goods, Profit is Operating profit before tax, EBITDA is Earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortisation, IVA is Industry value added. 

 

The figures below show the differences between the groups for wages, profits, EBITDA and IVA per employee. The general pattern is that Construction services have lower values than Building and Engineering, often around half as much, particularly for wages and contracting income. Average wages are notably low for Residential building and Building completion services. Contracting income per employee is highest in Non-residential building, by a considerable margin over Residential building and Engineering, and the three groups of Building installation, Building completion and Other construction services have almost the same contracting income per employee.

 

Figure 3. Wages and salaries per employee

 

 

Figure 4. Income per employee

 

Note: Includes contracting and subcontracting income, excludes non-construction income from sales of land and goods.

 

For EBITDA and IVA where non-construction services income is included, Land development and site preparation had the highest EBITDA and third highest IVA per employee. Residential building had lower IVA per employee but higher EBITDA than both Non-residential building and Engineering, which were the two groups with the highest IVA per employee. Interestingly, there is only a weak relationship between EBITDA and IVA per employee across the industry groups. 

 

Figure 5. EBITDA per employee

 

Note: EBITDA is Earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortisation.

 

The four Construction services groups of Building structure services, Building installation services, Building completion services and Other construction services have IVA per employee values around half that of Engineering, and around two thirds of Building. 

 

Figure 6. IVA per employee

 

Note: IVA is Industry value added.

 

Capital Formation

 

There is a well-established relationship between the amount of capital (both physical and intellectual) available for each worker and their level of productivity. All else equal, the more capital the higher the productivity. The survey has capital expenditure (capex) and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) for the eight industry groups, and Figure 5 shows  the relationship between IVA per employee, capex and GFCF per employee.

 

Land development and site preparation had the highest level for both capex and GFCF per employee indicators, due to including purchases of land and equipment. Similarly, Engineering has a high capex that includes purchases of machinery and equipment, and also the highest IVA per employee. Capex is low for Residential and Non-residential building  because of the low level of ownership of heavy equipment and machinery due to extensive use of hiring and leasing, however that equipment and machinery lifts the level of IVA per employee. The other four trades in Construction services have capex and GFCF tracking IVA per employee, and are the best example of the relationship between capital and productivity.

 

Figure 7. IVA, capex and GFCF per employee in 2023-24. 

 

Note: Capex is capital expenditure and GFCF  is gross fixed capital formation.

 

Work Done by Type of Asset and Type of Work

 

Building Construction and Construction Services Income

 

There is a new set of data in this year’s survey that has the income from different types of asset built, divided into houses, other residential building and non-residential building, and the type of work done, divided into new construction work, alterations, additions, renovations and improvements, and repairs and maintenance. This is given for the three Building groups of Residential and Non-residential building and Construction services. 

 

Table 3. Income from construction services by type of work

 

 

Residential projects provided the largest source of income for Construction services, with $55.6bn from House construction and $17bn from Other residential building, a total of $72.6bn, compared to Construction services’ Non-residential building income of $66.2bn and Non-building construction’s $49.3bn. For the Non-residential building group, Alterations etc. income of $18bn was 58% of income from New work of $31bn.

 

Table 4. Type of work done by Building construction and Construction services

 

 

The distribution of income across type of work and type of asset can be found from this data. This has not previously been available and it allows a comparison of the relative importance of type of building work done. New work is 72% of the total, but of particular interest is that 9% is repair and maintenance, which is generally inefficient and labour intensive compared to new work. Around three quarters of R&M is (unsurprisingly) done by trades in Construction services and, except for Non-residential building, most of the alterations and additions.

 

Engineering Construction Income

 

Heavy and civil engineering construction total income was $98.2bn, of which $85.1bn was from contracting. Income was broken down by project type and into New work and Improvements and Repairs and maintenance (R&M): 

·       Road and bridge construction ($37.5bn; New work $34.5bn, R&M $2.6bn );

·       Railways, tramways and harbour construction ($17.3bn; New work $17bn);

·       Water storage and supply, sewerage and drainage construction ($7.2bn; New work $6.1bn, R&M $1.1bn);

·       Electricity generation, transmission and distribution construction ($11.5bn; New work $11.1bn);

·       Telecommunications construction ($1.2bn; New work $$567mn, R&M $595mn);

·       Oil, gas, coal, pipelines (not water) and other heavy industry construction ($9.4bn; New work $7.2bn, R&M $2.2bn);

·       Other non-building construction ($8.2bn; New work $7.6bn);

·       Building construction ($5.1bn; New work $5.5bn, Alterations & additions plus R&M $593mn). 

 

Roads and railways are by far the largest categories of new engineering work ($37.5bn and $17.3bn respectively), and it should be noted that 2023-24 was a year with exceptionally high public expenditure on infrastructure, with major projects underway in NSW, Victoria and Queensland. The third highest category was Electricity generation, transmission and distribution construction, reflecting expenditure on the energy transition with $11.1bn of new work. Repair and maintenance was 8.3% of total Engineering income. 

 

 

Key Points

 

Total income included income from non-construction services and sales of land and goods as well as income from contracting and subcontracting. Construction total income was $633.6 billion with$438.6bn or 69% from contracting and subcontracting. Contracting income from the public sector was $77bn. Sales of land and goods was a high proportion of contracting and subcontracting income for Residential building (67%) and Land development and site preparation services (53%).

 

Construction services have lower wages, profits, earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) and industry value added (IVA) per employee values than the Building and Engineering groups, particularly for wages and contracting income. Contracting income per employee is highest in Non-residential building, much more than Residential building and Engineering, and the three groups of Building installation, Building completion and Other construction services have almost the same contracting income per employee. 

 

When non-construction services income is included, Land development and site preparation had the highest EBITDA and third highest IVA per employee. Residential building had lower IVA per employee but higher EBITDA than both Non-residential building and Engineering, which were the two groups with the highest IVA per employee. There is only a weak relationship between EBITDA and IVA per employee across the industry groups. The four Construction services groups of Building structure services, Building installation services, Building completion services and Other construction services have IVA per employee values around half that of Engineering, and around two thirds of Building. 

 

The survey has capital expenditure and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF). Land development and site preparation had the highest and Engineering the second highest for capex and GFCF per employee, due to purchases of land and equipment. Capex is low for Residential and Non-residential building  because of hiring and leasing of heavy equipment and machinery. The other four trades in Construction services have capex and GFCF closely tracking IVA per employee, a good example of the relationship between physical capital and productivity.

 

Data on the distribution of income across type of work and type of asset has not previously been available. For Building construction New work is 72% of the total, alteration, additions and improvements 19%, and repair and maintenance is 9%, with around three quarters of R&M done by trades in Construction services. However, the data does not include the number of people employed in R&M. 

 

For Heavy and civil engineering, total income was $98.2bn, of which $85.1bn was from contracting. Roads and railways are by far the largest categories of new work ($37.5bn and $17.3bn respectively). 2023-24 was a year with high public expenditure on infrastructure and 55.5% of income came from the public sector. Repair and maintenance was 8.3% of total Engineering income. 

 

The 2023-24 Construction Industry Survey has provided a level of detail previously unavailable. Key insights are that 69% of total income is from contracting and subcontracting, with the rest from provision of services and sale of land and goods, and 9% of income is from repair and maintenance. Although only 18% of total contracting income is from the public sector, for Engineering it is 56%. Purchases of land by Residential building was $7bn and by Land development and site preparation $3bn, with $2.1bn and $1.3bn in interest costs respectively. In Non-residential building work, Alterations, additions, renovations and improvements income of $21.2bn was 41.2% of the income from New work of $51.3bn. For House construction by Construction services, income from New work was $30.6bn, and for Alterations etc. was $17.6bn, 57% of New work income. 

 

Non-residential building and Engineering had the highest IVA per employee, followed by Land development and site preparation and Residential building. There is a wide productivity differential across the industry groups, as measured by IVA per employee. That may be an imprecise measure, but it is indicative of the labour intensity of the trades, and the higher capital intensity of the Building and Engineering subdivisions. One way to improve overall industry productivity would be through lifting the capital intensity of Construction services by providing incentives for them to increase capex. 

 

Conclusion

 

The ABS 2023-24 Australian Industry data included a survey of the Construction industry, with previously unavailable data on income from work done and type of work, clients and other variables at the level of eight industry groups. Therefore, this data has much more detail compared to the three industry subdivisions of Building, Engineering and Construction services used in regular ABS publications, because subdivisions are made up of industry groups.  

 

The first three groups are Residential building, Non-residential building and Heavy and civil engineering, and there are five groups of Construction services: Land development and site preparation services, Building structure services, Building installation services, Building completion services, and Other construction services.

 

In terms of policy and industry development, this detailed data is important because it clearly shows the differences in the characteristics of the industry groups, their clients and sources of income. It will also allow recalculation of construction labour productivity for the different types of work done. 

 

Construction is better viewed as three sub-industries when the differences between Residential building, Non-residential building and Engineering construction are taken into account. These structural differences affect the way clients, contractors, subcontractors, designers and suppliers work and interact, and these ABS subdivisions have their own characteristics and ways of working. For example, house builders have pattern books, commercial building uses architects, and infrastructure is designed by engineers.

 

Industry policies that target Construction will be challenged by sub-industries with limited, though important, similarities, and are unlikely to be relevant across them. The specific nature of the individual subdivisions often makes recommendations and policy directed at Construction as a single industry hard to implement or ineffective, separate policies are required. 

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[1] ABS 8155DO008 Australian Industry 2023-24, ABS 8155DO001 Construction Industry Survey 2011-12. ABS 8772  Private Sector Construction Establishments 2002-03, 1996-97,1988-89,1984-85 and 1978-79. 

The 2002-03 survey used different industry categories and is not comparable with the other surveys. The ABS notes that survey data ‘were understated in the 1978/79 collection as there were significant coverage deficiencies in this survey.’

 

[2] In the US the Bureau of Labor Statistics issued a notice in June 2025 that said CPI collection reduction and suspension affected the Commodity and Services survey and the Housing survey. The ‘BLS makes reductions when current resources can no longer support the collection effort.’  

 

The UK Office of National Statistics published a wrong CPI figure in April 2025 and 

a Systemic Review of ONS Economic Statistics noted  ‘there are widely recognised problems with the Labour Force Survey’ and  ‘resource pressures on economic statistics and on the ONS as a whole have intensified in the last two years.’ In 2014 issues with UK construction data were so serious they led to Construction Output being de-designated as a National Statistic.