When asked what our idea of the construction industry
is, the mental picture we have is one of putting up buildings and structures.
This is what the industry does, so it is obviously true. A more interesting
question is how does the industry do this? To answer that question all the
various participants in the project life cycle from conception to operation
have to be included. Then there is the vast underpinning of manufacturers,
engineers, industrial designers, scientists and technologists. An industry with
a deep layer of specialised firms that form a dense network of producers,
suppliers and materials is known as a technological system.
Technological
systems solve problems or fulfill goals using whatever means are available and
appropriate; the problems have to do mostly with reordering the physical world
in ways considered useful or desirable, at least by those designing or
employing a technological system. (Hughes 1990: 53)
The idea is from Thomas Hughes, an engineer and
historian of technology, and his definition of a technological system is a
model of clarity that indicates a lot of hard thinking. It recognises that there
is an overlap between the idea of a technological system and an industry, but
accepts the boundaries between industries and firms are blurred when the task
is problem-solving. A technological system draws in suppliers from many
industries to deliver solutions to problems, just as the construction
industry’s technological system draws in suppliers from many industries to
deliver projects. Those projects are themselves solutions to problems.
This is all at a high level of generality, of course,
but one of the subtle aspects of the idea is way it is fractal, which means the
same features exist at different scales. For example, there is a network of
political, legal and financial organisations that facilitate the industry at
the scale of the system, and at the level of a sub-sub-sub-supplier in the
production chain there is another network of supporting firms. This effect can
also be seen with machinery and components, at both the scale of the machine and for parts their design and
production involves networks of engineers, managers and technologists.
This allows us to define a technological system based on
the relationships between the firms and other organisations involved in
reordering the physical world, in this case by delivering buildings and
structures. Those firms and organisations make up the ‘industry’ that delivers
those products. This is clearly similar to the concept of the broad construction industry discussed earlier. Similar but different, because here
membership of the technological system is by participation and linkage, not by
SIC codes. Regulatory agencies and professional licensing, for example, are
part of a technological system but not found in industry statistics.
*
Technological
systems are, for Hughes, the key to understanding technological change. He
studied the development and evolution of electric light and power between 1870
and 1940, and wrote a history of the industry. He saw these large, modern
technological systems evolving in a loose pattern: “The history of evolving, or
expanding, systems can be presented in the phases in which the activity named
predominates: invention, development, innovation, transfer, and growth,
competition, and consolidation. As systems mature, they acquire style and
momentum.” (1990: 65)
There are many industry life-cycle models, most based on
the idea of stages of development using generic terms like invention (new
knowledge) and transfer (to production). Hughes’ version has seven phases that
he uses to track the development of what he calls ‘systems of production’.
These are the massive industrial complexes that arose in the first half of the
twentieth century from major nineteenth century inventions like electricity and
the internal combustion engine. Hughes is particularly interested in a small
group of people he calls ‘system builders’, men like Henry Ford and Thomas
Edison, who conceived and built entirely new and fully integrated supply
chains, which became the technological systems used to produce cars and electricity.
In Hughes’ book American Genesis,
which had the subtitle A Century of Invention and Technological
Enthusiasm 1870-1970, these system builders have a central role.
Within the seven phases of Hughes’ industry life-cycle are
two smaller, interior cycles. Cycle 1 is invention, development, innovation
and transfer, and clearly applies to emerging industries
going through rapid technological change driven by new inventions. But it also
describes the ongoing process of refinement of existing technology that
underpins modern industry. Because most new inventions are based on some new
combination of existing technology, as we accumulate more knowledge, new
materials and equipment and so on, the range and number of possible new
inventions is increasing exponentially. This means the general pace of
underlying technological change can be expected to increase, affecting older,
mature industries as much as newer ones.
In a production system as large and diverse as the
construction industry technological system there are many entry points for new
tech, so the issue here may not be the role of system builders, as in the
industries studied by Hughes, who was interested in the way “radical inventions
inaugurate new systems”. While radical inventions are significant, he
discriminated between them and what he called "conservative" inventions. All
inventions need to be tested and extended, expanded and finally put into
production, so the great majority of R&D and innovation is done in
corporate labs and is incremental, endlessly refining parts of the production
system, usually in response to something changing elsewhere in the system. All
industries have this push-pull dynamic in their supply chains, as production
and distribution methods evolve over time.
Across the construction supply chain there are
occasional technological breakthroughs, but they don’t create new industries
because they typically come from firms and organisations already within the
technological system. As a mature system, many of its sub-markets can be
expected to be quite concentrated, with a few large, well established firms exactly
like those Schumpeter suggested would be most likely to engage in R&D and
invention and innovation. And these firms typically focus on incremental
improvement of their product or service, and do so at approximately the same
pace as their competitors within the technological system, the ratchet effect in action.
Because this form of invention and innovation is
incremental, it should not be dismissed as unimportant. An example is the increasing
lifting capacity of cranes over time, another is the new generation of
construction chemicals, mainly sealants and concrete additives. These will
greatly improve building performance and are the products of long-term
industrial R&D, which is how technological change works in most industries
most of the time. Another example is the development of computer-aided design software, which went on for decades before building information
models were produced in the 1990s. BIM has advanced through 2D and 3D versions
to the 4D (schedule) and 5D (cost) iterations today. Software linked to cameras
or drones can now provide 4DAR (augmented reality) images from a building site
linked to the BIM virtual project.
Cycle 2 in Hughes’ industry life cycle is growth,
competition, and consolidation. This is where we get mature
technological systems, industries that have moved past early rapid growth, and where
the shape of the industrial structure has emerged. In many cases these are
oligopolistic, with a few specialised firms dominating market niches or layers
in the supply chain. The car industry is the obvious example, where two-thirds
of global production is done by eight firms and there are often only two or
three suppliers of dashboards, door panels, seats, airbags, brakes and steering
and other key components. Construction materials like cement, concrete and
glass, and components like building management systems, lifts and elevators are
all similarly oligopolistic industries in mature supply chains.
Hughes has different types of system
builders in each of his seven phases, based on the kind of system builder who
is most active as a maker of critical decisions. “During invention and
development inventor-entrepreneurs solve critical problems; during innovation,
competition, and growth manager entrepreneurs make crucial decisions; and
during consolidation and rationalization financier-entrepreneurs and consulting
engineers, especially those with political influence, often solve the critical
problems associated with growth and momentum.” (1990: 57). Basically,
technological systems evolve through three stages based on a dominant business
model and types of people: invention, management and finance.
Momentum is a useful idea too, particularly at the
system level, although it can also refer to the well-documented persistence of
older technologies despite newer and better versions being available, like the
QWERTY keyboard or radio. Hughes thought “Mature systems, have a quality that
is analogous ... to inertia of motion. The large mass of a technological system
arises especially from the organizations and people committed by various
interests to the system.” This highlights the value of a systems approach,
because it includes organisations, organisational forms and people in networks
of influence. This helps explain the long-run stability shown in a mature
technological system.
*
The driver of the development trajectory for the
construction industry in the the 21st century
will be technologies now emerging, like nanotechnology, machine intelligence, exoskeletons, robots and so on. Possibly human augmentation. These are expected to vastly increase our abilities in hardware,
both mechanical and silicon, and software, with new applications and programs
and the development of intelligent machines trained in specific tasks. Because the industry’s
technological system is so wide and deep this will affect a very large number
of firms and people, and through them the wider economy and society.
How firms utilise technological capabilities will
increasingly differentiate firms within an industry. It is widely recognised
that there are differences between industries in the way that technology is
adopted, adapted and applied, but the differences within industries has
generally got less attention. For building and construction this is a far more
significant driver of change than many people seem to think, it is after all a
very conservative industry.
Hughes, T.P.
1990. The evolution of large technological systems, in W.E. Bijker, T.P. Hughes
and T. Pinch, eds., The Social Construction of Technological Systems, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, pp.
51-83.
Hughes, T.P. 1989. American Genesis: A Century of Invention and Technological Enthusiasm 1870-1970. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. New ed. 2003.
Hughes, T.P. 1989. American Genesis: A Century of Invention and Technological Enthusiasm 1870-1970. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. New ed. 2003.
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